Libya Air Power – Market Forecasts & Business Opportunities – 2013-2018

Libyan post-revolution government is committing in 2013 almost $5 billion (10% of its national budget) to modernizing the country’s nearly-destroyed military infrastructure, including a huge investment in air power platforms and payloads.

This new report provides a focused, timely, triple-scenario analysis of possible air power evolutionary paths, by technology, operations and maintenance and unique business opportunities, including: retrofit, training, UAVs, upgrades, avionics and munitions.

The new report covers the following:
  • Platforms (fighters, helicopters, UAVs)Libya Air Power Market Forecast
  • Avionics
  • Munitions
  • Installed base (current and forecast)
  • Operations and Maintenance
  • Scenario Comparisons
  • Business Opportunities
Libya may be on the cusp of £3 billion defense shopping trip
Post-Gaddafi Libya is once again looking to stretch its wings after several decades of trade embargoes and strategic dictatorial neglect with reported plans on a major wave of military spending.

The General National Congress is understood to have approved $4.7billion in the acquisition of modern systems, equating to ten per cent of the national budget, and the developments are already underway.

As noted in a Defence IQ report, the Air Force is seeking negotiations with schools and firms in Europe, particularly in the UK, to both refresh the capabilities of personnel and begin rebuilding the lost resources, bases and assets taken out by NATO during Operation Unified Protector.Libya is keen to demonstrate to both its own people and its neighbours that it is capable of securing its borders, particularly as instability in the region can threaten its newfound liberation.
 
1. Introduction
1.1. Scope of this Report
1.2. Forecast Scenarios
1.2.1. Scenario I – Steady State
1.2.2. Scenario II – Collapse of Traditional Governments
1.2.3. Scenario III – Conflict with Iran
1.3. Language Disclaimer and Further Information
1.4. Methodology
1.4.1. Redundancy
1.5. Who is this Report for?
1.5.1. Aircraft Manufacturers
1.5.2. Avionics Manufacturers
1.5.3. Munitions Manufacturers
1.5.4. Government Leaders & Planners
2. Executive Summary
2.1. Libya Air Power – Life in the Age of Uncertainty
2.2. Major Findings and Conclusions
2.2.1. Major Findings
2.2.2. Major Conclusions
2.3. Important Tables and Graphs
2.3.1. Libya – Scenario I – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
2.3.2. Libya – Scenario II – Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
2.3.3. Libya – Scenario III – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
3. Current Markets & Technologies
3.1. Platforms
3.1.1. Fighters
3.1.2. Helicopters
3.1.3. UAVs
3.2. Munitions
3.3. Avionics
4. Libya – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology– 2013-2018
4.1. Libya – Scenario I – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.1.1. Scenario I – Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.1.2. Scenario I – Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.2. Libya – Scenario II – Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.2.1. Scenario II – Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.2.2. Scenario II – Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.3. Libya – Scenario III – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.3.1. Scenario III – Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.3.2. Scenario III – Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
5. Libya – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – 2013-2018
5.1. Introduction
5.2. Fighter Aircraft O&M
5.3. Avionics and Munitions
6. Libya – Air Power Market Forecast Scenario I, II and III – Comparisons – 2013-2018
6.1. Libya – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.1.1. Libya – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.1.2. Libya – Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.2. Libya – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by Technology – 2013-2018
6.2.1. Platforms – Libyan Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.2.2. Avionics – Libyan Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.2.3. Munitions – Libyan Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
7. Business Opportunities
7.1. Introduction
7.2. Business Opportunities
7.2.1. UAVs for Border Security
7.2.2. Retrofit Packages
7.2.3. Upgrading and Updating Mature Fleets
7.2.4. Replacement of obsolete or Soviet equipment
7.2.5. Maintenance Equipment and Training
7.2.6. Pilot Combat Training
7.2.7. Avionics and Munitions Replacement
Appendices
Acronyms
Glossary & Definitions
 
List of Tables

Table 1 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 2 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 3 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 4 – Libya Current Market Fighters
Table 5 – Libya Current Market Helicopters
Table 6 – Libya Current Market UAVs
Table 7 – Libya Current Market Jastreb Attack Aircraft Munitions
Table 8 – Libya Current Market Avionics
Table 9 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 10 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 11 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 12 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 13 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 14 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 15 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 16 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 17 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 18 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 19 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 20 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 21 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 22 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 23 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 24 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 25 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 26 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 27 – Libya – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 28 – Libya – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 29 – Libya – Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 30 – Libya – Platforms Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 31 – Libya – Avionics Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 32 – Libya – Munitions Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
List of Figures

Figure 1 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 2 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 3 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 4 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 5 – Platforms – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 6 – Avionics– Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 7 – Munitions– Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 8 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 9 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 10 – Platforms – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 11 – Avionics – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 12 – Munitions – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 13 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 14 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 15 – Platforms – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 16 – Avionics – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 17 – Munitions – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 18 – Scenario I Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 19 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 20 – Platforms – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 21 – Avionics – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 22 – Munitions – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 23 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 24 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 25 – Platforms – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 26 – Avionics – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 27 – Munitions – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 28 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 29 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 30 – Platforms – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 31 – Avionics – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 32 – Munitions – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 33 – Scenario II Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 34 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 35 – Platforms – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 36 – Avionics – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 37 – Munitions – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 38 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 39 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 40 – Platforms – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 41 – Avionics – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 42 – Munitions – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 43 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 44 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 45 – Platforms – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 46 – Avionics – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 47 – Munitions – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 48 – Scenario III Libyan Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 49 – Libya – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 50 – Libya – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 51 – Libya – Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 52 – Libya – Platforms Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 53 – Libya – Avionics Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 54 – Libya – Munitions Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
 
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Report Code: MF150394
Published: July 13, 2015
Pages: 72 (US Letter)
Analyst: Mr. Dixon Bash
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