Egypt - The Future of Air Power Markets & Technologies Outlook – 2013-2018

The events of the past two years in Egypt will have a significant impact on Egypt’s air power makeup and evolution. Currently, 80% of Egypt’s defense budget is funded by the US; as a result the Egyptians are required to spend much of that funding on US equipment.

And indeed, new, US-made, aircraft on order are due to arrive in Egypt in 2014. Egypt’s economic condition will continue to worsen over the coming years, leading to a severe lack of funds, a poorly functioning economy and a dearth of major oil reserves. It is possible that other Arab countries (e.g., Saudi Arabia), the US and other Western allies may finance the modernization of Egypt’s aircraft inventory to promote regional stability.

This new, triple-scenario, report examines various evolutionary options in post-revolution’s Egypt, and forecasts that a growing portion of Egypt’s air power-related purchases will be dedicated towards upgraded munitions, avionics and UAVs – mostly supplied by the US.

Furthermore, Egypt will experience an increase of air power platforms and associated maintenance, avionics and munitions between 2016 and 2018. This growth in air power will coincide with the drawdown of US and Western influence in the region.



Egypt – Air Power Market Forecast – 2013-2018
 
1. Introduction
1.1. Scope of this Report
1.2. Forecast Scenarios
1.2.1. Scenario I – Steady State
1.2.2. Scenario II – Collapse of Traditional Governments
1.2.3. Scenario III – Conflict with Iran
1.3. Language Disclaimer and Further Information
1.4. Methodology
1.4.1. Redundancy
1.5. Who is this Report for?
1.5.1. Aircraft Manufacturers
1.5.2. Avionics Manufacturers
1.5.3. Munitions Manufacturers
1.5.4. Government Leaders & Planners

2. Executive Summary
2.1. Egyptian Air Power – Life in the Age of Uncertainty
2.2. Major Findings and Conclusions
2.2.1. Major Findings
2.2.2. Major Conclusions
2.3. Important Tables and Graphs
2.3.1. Scenario I – Air Power Market Forecast
2.3.2. Scenario II – Air Power Market Forecast
2.3.3. Scenario III – Air Power Market Forecast

3. Current Markets & Technologies
3.1. Platforms
3.1.1. Fighters
3.1.2. Helicopters
3.1.3. UAVs
3.2. Avionics
3.3. Munitions

4. Egyptian Air Power – Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.1. Egyptian Air Power – Scenario I – Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.1.1. Scenario I – Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.1.2. Scenario I – Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.2. Egyptian Air Power – Scenario II – Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.2.1. Scenario II – Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.2.2. Scenario II – Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies – 2013-2018
4.3. Egyptian Air Power – Scenario III – Air Power Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.3.1. Scenario III – Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018
4.3.2. Scenario III – Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Forecast by Technology – 2013-2018

5. Egyptian Air Power – Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – 2013-2018
5.1. Introduction
5.2. Fighter Aircraft O&M
5.3. Avionics and Munitions

6. Egyptian Air Power – Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III – Comparisons – 2013-2018
6.1. Egyptian Air Power – Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.2. Egyptian Air Power – Installed Base Value Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.3. Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by Technology – 2013-2018
6.3.1. Platforms – Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.3.2. Avionics – Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018
6.3.3. Munitions – Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison – 2013-2018

7. Egyptian Air Power – Business Opportunities
7.1. Introduction
7.2. Business Opportunities
7.2.1. UAVs for Border Security
7.2.2. Retrofit Packages
7.2.3. Upgrading and Updating Mature Fleets
7.2.4. Maintenance Equipment and Training
7.2.5. Pilot Combat Training
7.2.6. Avionics and Munitions Replacement
Appendices
Acronyms
Glossary & Definitions
 
List of Tables

Table 1 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 2 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 3 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 4 – Egypt Current Market Fighters
Table 5 – Egypt Current Market Helicopters
Table 6 – Egypt Current Market UAVs
Table 7 – Egypt – Current Market Avionics
Table 8 – Egypt – Current Market F-4 Munitions
Table 9 – Egypt – Current Market F-16, Mirage and AH-64 Apache munitions
Table 10 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 11 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 12 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 13 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 14 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 15 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 16 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 17 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 18 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 19 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 20 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 21 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 22 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 23 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 24 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 25 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 26 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 27 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013-2018
Table 28 – Egypt – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 29 – Egypt – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 30 – Egypt – Air Power Installed Base Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 31 – Egypt – Platforms Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 32 – Egypt – Avionics Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Table 33 – Egypt – Munitions Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018

List of Figures

Figure 1 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 2 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 3 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 4 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 5 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 6 – Egypt – Platforms Scenario I Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 7 – Egypt – Avionics Scenario I Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 8 – Egypt – Munitions Scenario I Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 9 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 10 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 11 – Scenario I Egyptian Platforms Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 12 – Scenario I Egyptian Avionics Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 13 – Scenario I Egyptian Avionics Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 14 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 15 – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 16 – Platforms – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 17 – Avionics – Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 18 – Munitions Scenario I Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 19 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 20 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 21 – Platforms Scenario II Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Million] – 2013-2018
Figure 22 – Avionics Scenario II Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 23 – Munitions Scenario II Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 24 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 25 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 26 – Scenario II Egypt Air Power Platforms Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Billion] – 2013-2018
Figure 27 – Scenario II Egypt Air Power Avionics Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 28 – Scenario II Egypt Air Power Munitions Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 29 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 30 – Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technologies by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 31 – Platforms Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 32 – Avionics Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 33 – Munitions Scenario II Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technologies by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 34 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 35 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 36 – Platforms Scenario III Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Billion] – 2013-2018
Figure 37 – Avionics Scenario III Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 38 – Munitions Scenario III Egypt Air Power Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 39 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 40 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Operations and Maintenance Market Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 41 – Scenario III Egypt Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Million] – 2013-2018
Figure 42 – Scenario III Egypt Air Power Avionics Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 43 – Scenario III Egypt Air Power Munitions Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 44 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 45 – Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast Share by Technology by [%] – 2013, 2016 and 2018
Figure 46 – Platforms Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 47 – Avionics Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 48 – Munitions Scenario III Egyptian Air Power Installed Base Value Forecast by Technology by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 49 – Egypt – Air Power Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 50 – Egypt – Air Power Operation and Maintenance Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 51 – Egypt – Air Power Installed Base Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 52 – Egypt – Platforms Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 53 – Egypt – Avionics Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
Figure 54 – Egypt – Munitions Market Forecast – Scenario I, II and III Comparison by [$Millions] – 2013-2018
 
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Report Code: MF130234
Published: August 9, 2013
Pages: 79 (US Letter)
Analyst: Mr. Dixon Bash
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